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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Posted by By Briggs April 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Posted by By Briggs April 22, 2026
Continue Reading
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
Posted inStatistics

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
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Power Restored, Posts To Resume
Posted inStatistics

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

When the power came on, I was playing my cheap electric piano, and I had hit the wrong key. Which I hit more wrong than right ones, so that wasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

No posts, class. No power, no internet

Might be days or a week before back. More ice snow tomorrow. I won't see comments, so thanks for understanding.
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MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
Posted inStatistics

MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies

No power at the Briggs ranch, so I won't see any comments. There are two meanings to zombie. The first are walking corpse, one of the rapacious undead who prowl…
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Class 44: What Causes Cancer Of The Albondigas?
Posted inStatistics

Class 44: What Causes Cancer Of The Albondigas?

This class is a must watch for all; or at least a must read. I've been showing you how badly cause is misidentified in sciences which use statistics. Today a…
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How To Claim Your Specialty Suffers From “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

How To Claim Your Specialty Suffers From “Climate Change”

I've told you innumerable times that scientists are good at finding evidence which supports their fancies, and just as lousy, or lousier because of their egos, than others when finding…
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Why Does Science Say Everything Will Kill You?
Posted inStatistics

Why Does Science Say Everything Will Kill You?

Everything, Science says, will kill you or ill you. Or cure you. Last week I gave readers homework to go to scholar.google.com and type in "X 'reduces' risk" (or 'increases')…
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The Enormous Rotten Egg Of Government-Funded Science Has Turned Men Weak
Posted inStatistics

The Enormous Rotten Egg Of Government-Funded Science Has Turned Men Weak

Reminder: The Class will now run at the end of the week. Here is a passage from The Enormous Egg, by Oliver Butterworth, written in the mid 1950s. A story…
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  1. John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026

    Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…

  2. C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    @Cary I'm not sure what a "Martian giant" is... Elon Musk? I tried Google but all I found was a…

  4. John M on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Liberalism Is a Mental Disorder by Michael Savage, ISBN 1-59555-006-2

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    You speak wisdom, Martian giant.

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