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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Why Is The NYT Admitting the Covid Lab-Leak Theory Now?
Posted inStatistics

Why Is The NYT Admitting the Covid Lab-Leak Theory Now?

I am moving the Class, which is rather specialized, to the end of the week. Yesterday the New York Times, the written order-of-the-day for the old school left, put out…
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The Age Of The Victim Is Passing
Posted inStatistics

The Age Of The Victim Is Passing

Fr Robert McTeigue, SJ, host of The Catholic Current had me on last week. Show's title was Can Anyone Afford Feminism?  The answer is no. Today, an expansion of what…
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Magnetically Created Lesions In The Brain & Telekinetic Movement Of M&Ms
Posted inStatistics

Magnetically Created Lesions In The Brain & Telekinetic Movement Of M&Ms

Stick with me today, my friends. There is an important lesson buried in the madness, with a wider application than is at first apparent. A reader asked me to look…
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Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study
Posted inStatistics

Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study

Today a paper which proves my contention that governments ought to get out of the grant-making business. The "study" was funded by NIH, and conducted by "top" scientists at Harvard.…
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Class 42: Causal & Deterministic Models
Posted inStatistics

Class 42: Causal & Deterministic Models

The word to determine is ambiguous. It can mean ascertain or cause. The latter implies the former, but not vice versa. Knowing the full cause of things is our goal;…
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“Climate Change” Is Making People Live Longer!
Posted inStatistics

“Climate Change” Is Making People Live Longer!

Here's the panicky headline: "Long periods of extreme heat can accelerate biological age, scientists say". Longer periods of extreme heat has been found to accelerate biological age in older adults…
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David Hume’s Anti-Miracles Argument Is Poor
Posted inStatistics

David Hume’s Anti-Miracles Argument Is Poor

David Hume, as you know, wrote on miracles. He didn't like them. Which is to say, he didn't believe them. But then Hume didn't believe we could know any cause.…
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The Case For Ending Government Funding of Science
Posted inStatistics

The Case For Ending Government Funding of Science

Direct government funding of science has to end. Here is why, and what should replace it. Some are making a big deal of a new paper in which "researchers found…
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  1. NLR on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 7, 2026

    It appears that Dawkins does not have a well thought out philosophy of consciousness and so he has psyched himself…

  2. Johnno on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    Hence we descriptively say in plural... a "calamity of victims." Or a "catastrophe of Expurts." Or an "academy of failures."…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    So, three circumlocutors walk into a bar...

  4. Cary D Cotterman on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    When an academic paper has "intersectional," "decolonial," "disabilities," "intersect," "social," "structural," "injustices," and "diverse" in one sentence, you know you've…

  5. Bill Hankel on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    I decided to accept your challenge, knowing with near certainty that your intuition was correct. I invested 15-20 seconds total…

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