William M. Briggs

I know I wasn't going to inflict upon you more What Are The Chances...? videos, but this was so topical, and fit in so well with the Class, that I…

Bayes's theorem, while nice, is not necessary. What counts is the relation between sets of propositions; between our assumptions and what we want to know. Bayes can even slow you…

Statues of fat ugly lumpen surly ill-kempt statues of black women, all in poses to accentuate their quarrelsome uselessness, are being placed in prominent places in the West. The Latest,…

In the 1970s the fear---there is always fear, much of it imaginary or exaggerated---was mass starvation. There were soon, they said, to be too many people, which would lead to…

I've started a new video series called What Are The Chances...? In which I'll look at oddities, curiosities, coincidences, strange and even mundane events and see what we can tell…

Independence implies causality; irrelevance is consistent with logic. A reminder that there is no such thing as unconditional probability. WARNING for those reading the email version! The text below might…

Briggs note: Since my take is that the government ought to get out of science grants altogether, I owe it to you to provide an insider's view (since I am…

Briggs note: The point Jaap makes that measurability does not equate to toxicity, i.e. causal, needs emphasizing. It's related to how you go to the doctor and some measure is,…