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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Posted by By Briggs May 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

Posted by By Briggs May 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

The Ultimate Conspiracy Part I– Guest Post by Ianto Watt

My goodness, there seems to be a lot of cats running around! And a whole lot of empty bags lying about as well. It reminds one of the 'As I…
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Posted inStatistics

The Alternative To Null Hypothesis Significance Testing

This article jumps right in with continuous-valued probability models, which are explained in Uncertainty, as is the subject of this article in great detail. This article is only a rough…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Everybody Has A Different Intellect

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We're back…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Trolley Problem & Driverless Cars

We're back on our Edge series, What scientific concept ought to be better known. Today's entry is from Daniel Rockmore on the "Trolley Problem." This is an over-worked philosophical or…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: No, a Study Did Not Show That Same-Sex “Marriage” Laws Reduce Teen Suicide Rates

Folks, a ripe entry for the Fourth Annual WMBriggs.com Bad Science Award (and what about the Third Annual? It's coming, it's coming...). No, a Study Did Not Show That Same-Sex…
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Posted inStatistics

Pope Francis Induces Warm Thoughts Of Global Warming

It's official. Science has donned the leather jacket, slipped on a pair of becoming Bermuda shorts, strapped on a pair of water skies, and soared into the air over the…
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Posted inPhilosophy

AI Does Not Pose A Challenge To Christianity

The theology and philosophy of the Atlantic article "Is AI a Threat to Christianity?" proves that it was all downhill after the schoolmen in the sad twilight of the Middle…
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Posted inCulture

An Open Letter To Milo Yiannopoulos — From A Friend (Guest Post)

Dear Milo, I've heard you are in a spot of bother, and I am sorry about that. Were the shoe on the foot of a Democrat, then I am sure…
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  1. John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026

    You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…

  2. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  3. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  4. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

  5. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

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