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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Posted by By Briggs March 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

On Not Reading

Posted by By Briggs March 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think

Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Intellect Is Not The Senses

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Two more…
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Posted inCulture

Tolerance Brutes Have Esolen On The Ropes

What do you think about a guy who goes around writing things like this? Recalling, as you read, Jesus and the Lord God and the Holy Ghost are one: Now…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Fake News of the Decade? Or, Does Russia Rule The World?

This is posting here a day late, because I had already promised the Vox Day post yesterday. Yet there is still some fun to be had at the Stream: Is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Why Mainline Churches Are Emptying

Stream: Why Mainline Churches Are Emptying. The Episcopal Church in America reached peak membership in 1959, with about 3.5 million baptized members, rising from just over one million in a…
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Posted inCulture

Alexander Dugin & The Pivot Of History: Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Read Part I. Now we are at the heart of the problem I have detected in trying to discern the real role Dugin (and by implication, Mackinder) plays in relation…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: When Marriage Can Be Anything, Marriage Can Be Anything

Stream: When Marriage Can Be Anything, Marriage Can Be Anything. It's a good bet you haven't heard of objectum-sexuals before. Though you might have seen "self marriage." It is only…
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  1. Nym Coy on On Not ReadingMarch 13, 2026

    Might I interest you in a book? It is called Mumbai Singularity, and it is a mythic cyberpunk detective thriller…

  2. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

  3. Idonotreadcomments on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    First of all, you only need to visit a big chain bookstore to know that the fiction market is driven…

  4. C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

  5. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    People have a variety of different reading habits. So the best thing to accommodate that is to preserve a variety…

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