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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Posted by By Briggs May 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

Posted by By Briggs May 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Tolerance Brutes Have Esolen On The Ropes

What do you think about a guy who goes around writing things like this? Recalling, as you read, Jesus and the Lord God and the Holy Ghost are one: Now…
Read More
Posted inCulture

Stream: Fake News of the Decade? Or, Does Russia Rule The World?

This is posting here a day late, because I had already promised the Vox Day post yesterday. Yet there is still some fun to be had at the Stream: Is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Why Mainline Churches Are Emptying

Stream: Why Mainline Churches Are Emptying. The Episcopal Church in America reached peak membership in 1959, with about 3.5 million baptized members, rising from just over one million in a…
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Posted inCulture

Alexander Dugin & The Pivot Of History: Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Read Part I. Now we are at the heart of the problem I have detected in trying to discern the real role Dugin (and by implication, Mackinder) plays in relation…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: When Marriage Can Be Anything, Marriage Can Be Anything

Stream: When Marriage Can Be Anything, Marriage Can Be Anything. It's a good bet you haven't heard of objectum-sexuals before. Though you might have seen "self marriage." It is only…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Soul Is Not A Body

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We're back…
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Posted inCulture

Gay “Marriages” In Prison: A Dialogue

Teacher: "Why is it that only two people are married at once---couples, that is to say---and not three, four, or more? Why not triples, quadruples and higher?" Student: "Well, history…
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  1. John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026

    You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…

  2. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  3. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  4. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

  5. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

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