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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Posted by By Briggs February 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Posted by By Briggs February 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

On The Cubs’ & Trump’s Victories, Nate Silver’s Predictions & All That

https://twitter.com/ThaRightStuff/status/794045050753794048 Some crow is presumably being eaten by Nate Silver and the folks at FiveThirtyEight.com this fine morning. I recommend they bake it into a pie (which I learnt from…
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Posted inCulture

No Matter Who Wins, We’re Doomed — WMBriggs Podcast

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7T0XUOVS2g Download MP3. Note: This was written and recorded last Wednesday, before DickiLeaks et alia, but due to other events I had to delay posting it until today. The return…
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Posted inCulture

What Russia Wants, Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: This is Part Final of a two-part series. Read Part I. So let me ask you; What is the biggest mountain in Russia? Mt. Athos, of course. Wait.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

A Deep Philosophical Account Of Probability

Another review of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, this one taken from an Amazon customer. It was 7 or 8 years ago when I was sitting in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Media Lying With Polls? Is The Pope…Er…Ah, Never Mind

Today's post is at The Stream: Be Skeptical of the Polls: Is the media lying to boost Hillary? Note: I'm putting the Summary Against Modern Thought Sunday series on hiatus…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Is It Okay To Eat Pigs And Not Dogs? Science Does Not Have The Answer

Opening sentence of the abstract in the peer-reviewed paper "When Meat Gets Personal, Animals' Minds Matter Less: Motivated Use of Intelligence Information in Judgments of Moral Standing" in Social Psychological…
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Posted inStatistics

One World Without Borders Would Lead To Tyranny

Hillary, in her own words, said "My dream is a hemispheric common market, with open trade and open borders". She said it, but it's not clear if she believes it.…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Satanism, Child Torture, Mind Control — What Is On Hollywood’s Mind?

Today's post is at the Stream: Satanism, Child Torture, Mind Control -- What Is On Hollywood's Mind? Who's up for some child torture? No, seriously. Wouldn't strapping a boy into…
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  1. Christopher C Reed on Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name CallingFebruary 12, 2026

    Congratulations on your promotion to Ringfueher, er...Ringleader! I suppose there may now be an opening for Henchman?

  2. Brian. (bulaoren) on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    A lot of Americans have come to suspect that the "dumbing down" of the population is a real, and deliberate…

  3. Heresolong on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    I can't but I don't understand most of the abbreviations. I look forward to your analysis.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    addendum; As I think back, that was probably the 1976 Dem. primary.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    While butting heads with Ted Kennedy, over the 1980 Democratic presidential primary, John Connally said something like; "At least I…

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