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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

What Russia Wants, Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: This is Part Final of a two-part series. Read Part I. So let me ask you; What is the biggest mountain in Russia? Mt. Athos, of course. Wait.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

A Deep Philosophical Account Of Probability

Another review of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, this one taken from an Amazon customer. It was 7 or 8 years ago when I was sitting in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Media Lying With Polls? Is The Pope…Er…Ah, Never Mind

Today's post is at The Stream: Be Skeptical of the Polls: Is the media lying to boost Hillary? Note: I'm putting the Summary Against Modern Thought Sunday series on hiatus…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Is It Okay To Eat Pigs And Not Dogs? Science Does Not Have The Answer

Opening sentence of the abstract in the peer-reviewed paper "When Meat Gets Personal, Animals' Minds Matter Less: Motivated Use of Intelligence Information in Judgments of Moral Standing" in Social Psychological…
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Posted inStatistics

One World Without Borders Would Lead To Tyranny

Hillary, in her own words, said "My dream is a hemispheric common market, with open trade and open borders". She said it, but it's not clear if she believes it.…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Satanism, Child Torture, Mind Control — What Is On Hollywood’s Mind?

Today's post is at the Stream: Satanism, Child Torture, Mind Control -- What Is On Hollywood's Mind? Who's up for some child torture? No, seriously. Wouldn't strapping a boy into…
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Posted inCulture

Mamas Don’t Let Your Babies Grow Up To Be Fem’nists

With apologies... Mamas Don't Let Your Babies Grow Up To Be Fem'nists Don't let 'em grieve men or choose man-boy cucks Let 'em be true wives and mothers and such…
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Posted inCulture

What Russia Wants, Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: This is Part I of two parts. There are two surefire ways to insanity, The Abbott once told me. The first is to contemplate The Infinite always. The…
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  1. McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    “Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…

  2. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you point out, the whole thing with these questions is in the initial setup. Whoever invented this one, deliberately…

  3. C-Marie on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    Well said, everyone! So, do read Matthew 24 to know what Jesus said about the end times. God bless, C-Marie

  4. Cary D Cotterman on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    You can google the rarest of all animal species, some of which have only a few known living examples on…

  5. Philip Rogan on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    "To Serve Man."

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