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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Souls Survive The Body: Plan Accordingly

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Once again,…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: EPA Issues 57-State Climate Warning!

Today's post is at the Stream: EPA Issues 57-State Climate Warning! Strike that. It's a 50-State warning. That 57 came from elsewhere in the Obama administration. Well, 50 is less…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Is Homosexuality A Disability?

Guy's walking along, innocent like, when, lo, he has his "nuts bit off by a Laplander". Perhaps needless to say, his young wife is distressed over the incident. What goes…
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Posted inBook review

The Culture is Wrong, and The Church is Right: Zmirak’s New Book Reviewed

Today's post is at One Peter Five: The Culture is Wrong, and The Church is Right: Zmirak's New Book Reviewed. Scurry out and buy two copies of John "Bad Catholic"…
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Posted inStatistics

Prince Metternich Predicts Our Future From 1834 & Nails It

I saw a link to an interesting looking article entitled "Conversations With Prince Metternich" from our friend Nick B. Steves, clicked it and jumped right in. IT was in the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The New Religion Of Dataism (Another Version Of Man-As-God)

Dataism is the word coined by Yuval Noah Harari in his essay for an optimistic, practical implementation of Scientism. Just as divine authority was legitimised by religious mythologies, and human…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

‘Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics’ Reviewed Again

The following review appeared in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons (pdf). Jane Orient is the lead doc at Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, publishers of the journal.…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Substance & Being vs. Matter & Form

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Back to…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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