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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
May 13, 2025
Academics Call Pregnancy A Disease
May 12, 2025
Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Posted by By Briggs June 12, 2025
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Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Stream: Why The Election Won’t Matter Much: We’re Doomed

Update Stream is up and down. I've been told "nerds are working on it." So if you are having troubles, keep checking back. Today's post is at the Stream: No…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Only God Can Create

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We've proved…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Reader Questions About Men’s Fashion

Dr. Briggs, I just reread your post "Top 10 Men's fashion rules" and it has much more meaning to me now that I am a bit older and more 'professional'…
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Posted inPhilosophy

It from bit: What about God? Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Editor's note: See Kurland's page for an extended version of this article, with references. 'It from bit' symbolizes the idea that every item of the physical world has at bottom---at…
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Posted inCulture

Canada Slipping Fast Back Into Paganism: “Doctors” Ordered To Kill

The slogan in Canada will soon be Whatever you do, don't go to the "doctor". You might not make it out alive. Yeoman Wesley Smith reports "Canada Proposes Forcing Doctors…
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Posted inCulture

Feminist Physics Begets Feminist Glaciology

Remember when we talked about feminist physics a couple of months back? We discovered that the term meant not studying how things move, but thinking about how we feel about…
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Posted inStatistics

American Statistical Association Statement On Statistical Significance & P-values, With My Comments

Editorial Note: I had this originally scheduled to go Monday, but due to Stream's Creatorgate piece showing up yesterday, I delayed this by a day. I think I only have…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Stream: #Creatorgate. Scientists Say ‘The Creator’ Designed The Human Hand, Biologists Go Ape.

Today's post is at the Stream: #Creatorgate: Scientists Say 'The Creator' Designed The Human Hand, Biologists Go Ape. Who are the most dogmatic, inflexible, reactionary, unforgiving, monomaniacal set of people…
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  1. hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025

    I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…

  2. NLR on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 11, 2025

    It's not just that the effects of technology are complex, it's that there's no guarantee that the results will fit…

  3. Cloudbuster on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025

    "Anyway, murder is illegal, too, yet murder is still with us. So it shouldn’t be strange that forbidding scientists to…

  4. Mike Wooly on Cosmic Radiation, Clouds, & Global WarmingJune 10, 2025

    The IPCC report that anthropogenic warming is around 0.2 degrees C per decade. That's two hundredths of a degree C…

  5. Chaeremon on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025

    IMHO the dot ai bubble, as direct follower of the dot com bubble, is trying to instantiate Gödel's incompleteness theorems,…

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