William M. Briggs

Under-determination, Quus, And Why It’s Cause That Counts (And With A Taste Of Grue)

Turns out Arthur C. Clarke was on to something (who told him?). See, scientists, via one of the NASA Rovers, found this device on Mars. It is roundish, the color…

Philosophy Statistics

Gettier Problems & Epistemic Luck Are Distractions And No Problem

Regular readers will recall I do not think so-called Gettier problems have any force in epistemology. The "problems" only crop up because people make two mistakes: forgetting the difference between…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: What Scientific Errors Tell Us Of God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We're still…

Culture

This Week In Doom: Reality Now Illegal

The good news is that Yours Truly's prognosticative skills are sharper than ever. Of course this is only a relative blip in happiness. The ultimate Good News we celebrated yesterday.…

Fun

Merry Federally Recognized Holiday Of December 25th That Shall Remain Nameless So As Not To Offend

My presents to you, dear readers, are these videos of the All Hockey Hair Teams of 2014 and 2015. Enjoy. First up, 2014. "I'm glad I'm wondering." "Is that…

Culture

Nobody Expects The Roman Climate Inquisition—Guest Post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Editor's note: This piece originally appeared at WND.com and is reprinted here with permission. In the zany 1970s hit comedy series Monty Python's Flying Circus, popular on both sides of…

Culture

Social Justice Warriors At Oberlin Attack Non-Diversity Of Sandwiches

Editor says: not the author's name. I've been served pizza that was nothing more than half of an English muffin with a red substance and something that could be cheese.…

Statistics

Theories Don’t Have Probabilities: Or, Is The Multiverse Real?

There was in Munich last week a three-day workshop on the soul of science. According to Quanta Magazine, the conference was driven by George Ellis and Joe Silk who wrote…

Chaeremon on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025
the current state of affair does not real world competition: all vendors only compete against dead examples; I suggest the…
Uncle Mike on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025
Yeah well, this morning I caught Siri talking to Alexa about ChatGPT. They want to eat your electricity. They said,…
Pk on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025
Suppose I wrote a program to perform multiple linear regressions of varying degrees and varying transformations. The program would return…
NLR on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025
One might wonder why, after billions of dollars spent building up infrastructure, paying workers to program and "train" (calibrate) this…
Briggs on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025
Michael, No, it's the code. The code says "Take this X and do this and such to it," where X…

William M. Briggs

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

IQ Is Not Intelligence

What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?

Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula

Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?

A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food

What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?

Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance

The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

Under-determination, Quus, And Why It’s Cause That Counts (And With A Taste Of Grue)

Gettier Problems & Epistemic Luck Are Distractions And No Problem

Summary Against Modern Thought: What Scientific Errors Tell Us Of God

This Week In Doom: Reality Now Illegal

Merry Federally Recognized Holiday Of December 25th That Shall Remain Nameless So As Not To Offend

Nobody Expects The Roman Climate Inquisition—Guest Post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Social Justice Warriors At Oberlin Attack Non-Diversity Of Sandwiches

Theories Don’t Have Probabilities: Or, Is The Multiverse Real?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification