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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!

https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/725150630441000960 If you can't see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is also given. Now I do not give a damn about the election, so please not…
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Let’s Polka!  Or How Polka Can Save The World — WMBriggs Podcast
Posted inPodcast

Let’s Polka! Or How Polka Can Save The World — WMBriggs Podcast

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iraHfs8iKUg The Polka Police say, "Let's Polka!" And there's no better way to polka than with the Schmenges, a.k.a. The Happy Wanderers, who are a must for any polka lover.…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Here Comes The Gene-Editing Research In Human Embryos

The mechanistic view of man and the universe has consequences, the most important of which is that man is seen as a machine. Well, he must be if everything is…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Ritual Sacrifice Promoted Evolution Of Stratified Societies: A Statistical Fallacy

His Majesty Every human society except one is stratified. The exception is the empire of William I, a small sand island that comes and goes by a remote and isolated…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Can Do Everything Not Logically Impossible

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Last week…
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Posted inCulture

Norway’s Official Church Surrenders Christianity

They weren't the first Christian sect to surrender and they won't be the last, but the Norwegian church is one of the official state churches to give up on holy…
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Posted inCulture

Why Do So Many Want Men In Ladies Rooms? Bonus: Did You Know It’s Earth Awareness Day?

Street Pest: Excuse me, sir, do you have a minute to save the earth? Intelligent Man: Huh? Oh. The earth? I'm not sure the earth would benefit from saving. SP:…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Why Science Is Broken & How To Fix It

Today's post is at The Stream: Why Science Is Broken, and How To Fix It: It comes down to bad politics, bad money, and bad philosophy. Here are snippets. Plus:…
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  1. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  2. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  3. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  4. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I think that pessimism morphs into cynicism when we perceive personal gain in our bleak expectations.

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