William M. Briggs

The US Office of Personal Management reported in 2017, the latest date I could find, that there were, summed across all territories, types, and geographic areas, 1,869,986 Federal civilian employees.…

I remind you, yet again, that all models only say what they are told to say. A bland truism. Unless you forget it. Let's now look at two "climate change"…

Of all the glorious winning we have had this last month, this is my favorite by far. Some 3,000 squealing scientists signed a petition addressed to the Royal Society to…

Chant this until it becomes part of your soul: There is no such thing as unconditional probability. Once you have that, endless "problems" people have "discovered" about probability vanish. Today…

The title quote is from David Stove, coming in a 1985 essay entitled "Jobs for Girls". That date is as good as any to celebrate as the birth of Woke,…

My joy is great. And growing: I responded on Twitter (follow me): "You might not know it, but this is a MAJOR VICTORY of outstanding proportions. Overhead is what fed…

Most heard the news there is a 2.4% chance a giant rock from space bringing something like an 8 Megaton blast might whack us in 2032. But I was interested…

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…