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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Posted by By Briggs May 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

Posted by By Briggs May 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Such Thing As An Average Man

Several readers---thanks to James, Steve E, and Ted Poppke---found the story "When U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages", which is an excerpt from the Todd Ross book The…
Read More
Posted inCulture

Stream: Brussels Attack And The Ironies Of Muslim Assimilation

Today's post is at the Stream: The Brussels Attack And The Ironies Of Muslim Assimilation. Ironies abound in the latest terrorist attack. Consider this propaganda video in which the organization…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Gender Ideology Harms Children, Is Child Abuse Say Pediatricians

The American College of Pediatricians, that stalwart organization, says Gender Ideology Harms Children and is child abuse. And so say we, too. Here is their statement, along with [my notes…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Ethics Of Precrime

This is Part II of our discussion of predicting individual crime. See Part I. The moral question is this: should an authority take action against you if an algorithm spits…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is All Mighty

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Some fleshing…
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Posted inCulture

Can A Catholic In Good Conscience Vote For Trump?

The titular question has been posed oft of late, most recently by the Catholic News Agency in their coverage of "An Appeal to Our Fellow Catholics" made by the big…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Police To Use Algorithms To Predict Which Cops Will Go Rogue

Word is police are buying statistical algorithms which purport to predict crime. Not just at the neighborhood- or block-level, but for persons---meaning for you. Which of our readers is most…
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Posted inStatistics

Third Way Of Probability & Statistics Gets Comments

I just discovered a written comment, actually two, on my sketch-paper "The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill". Now when I…
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  1. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

  2. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

  3. Johnno on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 12, 2026

    We should make it a law that whenever a criminal is sentened to death, that the only method to delay…

  4. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    Definitely pick the door that the Boomer just left. There are three Boomers, so the probability that the one you…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I don't know or have the patience for the math, or whatever it takes, to do this right. I figure…

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