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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Such Thing As An Average Man

Several readers---thanks to James, Steve E, and Ted Poppke---found the story "When U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages", which is an excerpt from the Todd Ross book The…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Brussels Attack And The Ironies Of Muslim Assimilation

Today's post is at the Stream: The Brussels Attack And The Ironies Of Muslim Assimilation. Ironies abound in the latest terrorist attack. Consider this propaganda video in which the organization…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Gender Ideology Harms Children, Is Child Abuse Say Pediatricians

The American College of Pediatricians, that stalwart organization, says Gender Ideology Harms Children and is child abuse. And so say we, too. Here is their statement, along with [my notes…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Ethics Of Precrime

This is Part II of our discussion of predicting individual crime. See Part I. The moral question is this: should an authority take action against you if an algorithm spits…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is All Mighty

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Some fleshing…
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Posted inCulture

Can A Catholic In Good Conscience Vote For Trump?

The titular question has been posed oft of late, most recently by the Catholic News Agency in their coverage of "An Appeal to Our Fellow Catholics" made by the big…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Police To Use Algorithms To Predict Which Cops Will Go Rogue

Word is police are buying statistical algorithms which purport to predict crime. Not just at the neighborhood- or block-level, but for persons---meaning for you. Which of our readers is most…
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Posted inStatistics

Third Way Of Probability & Statistics Gets Comments

I just discovered a written comment, actually two, on my sketch-paper "The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill". Now when I…
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  1. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  2. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

  3. Andras Kuthi on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 19, 2026

    Contemplate that Epstein won the New Mexico lottery...so much for randomly generated numbers.

  4. Rich on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 18, 2026

    Perhaps she and her friends would accept being paid according to the indigenous mathematics of crows who can, apparently, count…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Lunatics like this Kather are well-paid and get great benefits for putting out hooey like that. People pay a lot…

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