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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Direct Democracy Is Not To Be Desired

That people's first reaction to questioning democracy is anger ought to tell you a lot. This fellow @Voxday was on Twitter advocating direct over representative democracy. I made the point…
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Posted inCulture Fun

First Annual Political Correctness Day: Date TBA

There is nothing more important than Tolerance, Diversity, and Multiculturalism! So we are told. Yet those who tout these traits lie. This is easy to prove. Go to any person…
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Posted inCulture

What’s The Worst Moment in US History?

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/704700795166584832 If you can't read the tweet, it is a poll. It asks Worst Moment in US History with selections (the percents of 42 votes, current as of posting time):…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Is Truth And Evidence In Medicine Fascist? Update: Yes.

See what you think of this peer-reviewed paper by Dave Holmes in the International Journal of Evidence Based Healthcare called "Deconstructing the evidence-based discourse in health sciences: truth, power and…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Political Scientists Didn’t See Trump Coming. What Went Wrong?

Today's terrific post is at The Stream. The Bad Science Behind Trump's Opposition. It's the best post. The best. It just is. I don't know. I have friends in journalism.…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Creation Is Not A Succession

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. . Chapter…
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Posted inCulture

Health Insurance Isn’t Health Care

We talked this to death in the run up to Obamacare, but somehow, nobody knows how, the words of wisdom emanating from this site did not find purchase. I was…
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Posted inStatistics

Science Shows How Not To Get Killed By A Cow

"Murderous cattle are an understudied phenomenon, say veterinarian Angharad Fraser-Williams and other researchers at the University of Liverpool in the United Kingdom." You bet they're understudied. When's the last time…
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  1. Briggs on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    Gareth, And thanks for the comment.

  2. gareth on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    You said "and thanks for listening". To which my reply is "and thanks for doing" (many fold) I'm only half…

  3. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  4. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  5. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

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