These are tweets from last night’s debate—which I’m putting up the night of the debate. The timing’s important because here is my prediction, the last tweet of the night. https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/788933539664232448 We’ll see […]
How’d We Do On Our 2016 Predictions?
This was an interesting year because we had a general dichotmous proposition of interest to many; or rather, two. Who would win the (Republican) primary and who would win the Presidency? Click […]
Musk’s Matrix Is Malodorous

“Elon Musk has said that there is only a ‘one in billions’ chance that we’re not living in a computer simulation.” Since all probability is conditional on the assumed premises, the natural […]
Stairway To Heaven, Or To Atheism? — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

What does ‘a bustle in the hedgerow’ mean? I’m referring to a previous post, wherein I said Led Zeppelin’s Jimmy Paige was a liar. Why? Because there isn’t ‘still time to change […]
Stop Teaching Frequentism; More On That “Altruism” Study; Etc.

Freq Out Reader ECM points us to “The Great Statistical Schism“, by a fellow named Brendon Brewer who “is a senior lecturer in the Department of Statistics in Auckland.” Brewer says, as […]
Can A Scientist Believe In Miracles? — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Visit Kurland’s site for more. “Miracles always relate to the faith. That is why a belief in miracles is not a vacation from reason, a little holiday from the tedious demands of […]
Which Statistics Grad School If You’re Sick Of Hocus-Pocus P-values?

I received this query from a reader and thought it important enough for all of us to answer. I was hoping you could provide some advice for an aspiring statistician. I am […]
On Coincidence And Fortune: Why So Many One-Eyed Generals?

Plutarch opens his Life of Sertorius with these two sentences: It is perhaps not a matter of surprise, if in the lapse of time, which is unlimited, while fortune is continually changing […]
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