Search Results for “bayes bayesian” – Page 4

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI

Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time…

Philosophy Statistics

Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think

Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…

Statistics

Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS

Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it's far far far far far past time to cease…

Philosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…

Statistics

The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

Everybody who's anybody---which makes, as we'll see, a lot of nobodies---knows the gambler's fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, "Black…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…

Statistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…

Statistics

The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)

There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…

Maypo on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 24, 2025
I've never understood the concept of "bated breath", but count me as waiting eagerly.
Briggs on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 24, 2025
Maypo. Excellent question, and one we cover starting next week, if you don't mind waiting. Quick answer: it ain't easy.
Maypo on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 24, 2025
Hey Dr. Briggs, I think I generally follow your arguments and agree with them. What I am struggling with is,…
hudbwu on A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin ReviewedApril 24, 2025
I've been trying to post this for a day or two, and it's been failing. Let's see if it'll work…
John Pate on A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin ReviewedApril 24, 2025
I've been chatting with Grok alot lately and it's clear that the Singularity is a while away yet. I have,…