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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Social Justice Warriors At Oberlin Attack Non-Diversity Of Sandwiches

Editor says: not the author's name. I've been served pizza that was nothing more than half of an English muffin with a red substance and something that could be cheese.…
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Posted inStatistics

Theories Don’t Have Probabilities: Or, Is The Multiverse Real?

There was in Munich last week a three-day workshop on the soul of science. According to Quanta Magazine, the conference was driven by George Ellis and Joe Silk who wrote…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On God’s Happiness

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We start…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

This Week In Doom: The Demands And Ravages Of Equality

Progressive beasts We had fun with the foolish Vox explaining that animals "in the wild" suffer from being eaten, from disease, from neglect, from the lack of personal recognition, and…
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Posted inCulture

Animals Are Killing Animals And We’re Doing Nothing To Stop It

Social justice warriors have opened a new front in their continuing war against Reality: animal suffering. They've noticed it, they hate it, and they will no longer abide it. (H/T…
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Posted inPhilosophy

There Are Only Two Errors: Idealism & Materialism

There is that which is (and is not) and that which we know about that which is (and is not); i.e. there is ontology and epistemology. There are both and…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Trump’s—No, Wait—The Republican Debate

Today's post is at the Stream: Trump's---No, Wait---The Republican Debate. Winner? No question about it, it was Trump at a canter. This was conceded even before the debate began in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comment On “Origin of probabilities and their application to the multiverse”

Today, since I'm very busy, a small-ish review---mere comments, really---of "Origin of probabilities and their application to the multiverse" by Andreas Albrecht and Daniel Phillips. I got this paper via…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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