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William M. Briggs

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The Equality Paradox
July 9, 2026
My Horrible Interaction With AI
July 8, 2026
SOON
July 7, 2026
The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
July 6, 2026
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Equality Paradox

Posted by By Briggs July 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

My Horrible Interaction With AI

Posted by By Briggs July 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Is Young Fatherhood Causally Related To Midlife Mortality? Wee P-values Say Yes!

The title of today's post is culled from the peer-reviewed paper "Is young fatherhood causally related to midlife mortality? A sibling fixed-effect study in Finland" by Elina Einiö and two…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Knows Infinite Things

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. . Chapter…
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Posted inCulture

The Banality of Evil Redux: Do Planned Parenthood Officials Sin? Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Reposted from Bob Kurland's site. The net effect of this language system was not to keep these people ignorant of what they were doing, but to prevent them from equating…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Briggs Is Available To Speak. Update

You've seen the videos...You've read the papers...You know the blog...Now hire the man! For a limited time only---All men are mortal, Briggs is a man, etc.---W. M. Briggs is available…
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Posted inStatistics

Having A Kid Worse Than Divorce Or Death? Wee P-values Say Yes

When I first ascend to Emperor, after throwing into the dungeon any within earshot who cannot speak a full sentence without using 'like', my first act will be to create…
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Posted inStatistics

The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper

New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Contest! Dumbest & Most Frustrating Modern Invention

Contest! Win a Coffee Cup to the Stars! What is the Dumbest & Most Frustrating Modern Invention? What is the work of man that has given the most annoyance or…
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Posted inStatistics

Video: The Crisis Of Evidence, Or, Why Probability & Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbf_TXqEY-Y Thanks to Jeremy Snavely at DDP for putting up the talks. Here's a direct link. Here's the paper. Q & A starts around 52:30 minutes. Since some readers were…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The Equality ParadoxJuly 9, 2026

    "Manners Maketh the Man" I plan to submit a more elaborate "Ex Cathedra" after I've knocked back a couple of…

  2. Philip Rogan on The Equality ParadoxJuly 9, 2026

    ...not having any familiarity with the task, he forgot to light the fire. And not to forget that he also…

  3. John Pate on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 9, 2026

    Of course, indexing is the last task an LLM would be capable of because it works using next token prediction…

  4. John Pate on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 9, 2026

    Tagging by hand! I would have spent at least the same amount of time writing a perl script or three…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 8, 2026

    Many items I find on line seem redolent of AI; they contain a great deal of superfluous verbigeration. Perhaps the…

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