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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

Posted by By Briggs May 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Vote For Transhumanist Zoltan Istvan For President: It’s The Intelligent Thing To Do

I normally don't vote in presidential elections because the choices are between flavors of progressivism---D-type, R-type, etc.---and I desire none. But scrappy "transhumanist" Zoltan Istvan has changed my mind. He…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Knows All At Same Instant

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. God is…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: Grade Deflation

This week's doom: "higher" education, art, and sex. Racism's return It may be time to rethink the idea of academic freedom. Seems this professor blurted out a series of racist…
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Posted inCulture

Encyclical Delayed, Possibly Downgraded To Lesser Form?

The encyclical might be downgraded to some lesser form of "statement." This is the rumor as reported to me from "sources." Given the excitement the encyclical generated on the left,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The New Pew Religion Survey Isn’t What You Think (Probably)

Lot of chatter over the new Pew survey of religiosity, "Christians Decline Sharply as Share of Population; Unaffiliated and Other Faiths Continue to Grow". Main result: Christianity down, "nones" up.…
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Posted inCulture Podcast Statistics

The Pontifical Academy’s Sustainablity Conference Podcast

CLICK HERE TO GET TO THE PODCAST Arrgh. I'm trying out a new podcasting plugin. It puts the podcasts into something-which-isn't-a-post and which is impossible to find. So here is…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

What Does “Sustainability” Really Mean?

I had originally titled today's article as "The Theology of Sustainability", which has a certain ring to it. But I admit the title chosen by the Crisis editors probably results…
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Posted inStatistics

Hypothesis Testing Relies On The Fallacy Of False Dichotomy

Classical hypothesis testing is founded on the fallacy of the false dichotomy. The false dichotomy says of two hypotheses that if one hypothesis is false, the other must be true.…
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  1. The True Nolan on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 11, 2026

    If Dawkins were more honest or perhaps more insightful he would say that "Claudia responds AS IF she were conscious."…

  2. RW Pearson on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    In liberal California, I luckily live in Orange County, where our good Sheriff is issuing CCW permits and they are…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    For murderers and certain other committers of heinous crimes, I am for trials and death sentences on Fridays, the weekend…

  4. Chad Jessup on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    How about three strikes, and you're dead, which of course would only be for the very violent criminals. Why warehouse…

  5. shawn marshall on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    General Pyotr Wrangel in his bokk "Always with Honor" immediately stopped the predation by his own troo[s upon peasants by…

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