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Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
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Register Your Predictions For 2026!
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Happy New Year!
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How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
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Why The Drake Equation Fails
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Merry Christmas!
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Climate Models
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On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
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How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
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I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
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Posted inStatistics

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

Posted by By Briggs January 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Consent Fallacy

Posted by By Briggs January 7, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is One I

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Hotting up…
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Posted inCulture

This Partly Explains Why Education Is Such A Mess

I am away from the computer today. Alternate title, A Few Moments With The Teacher's College (Columbia) Record. Many educators are told what to think at this institution before they…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update

Read Part I Part II What we're after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: V

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inCulture

What Might Pope Francis’s Upcoming Encyclical Look Like?

For the love of money is the root of all evil: which while some coveted after, they have erred from the faith, and pierced themselves through with many sorrows. So…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I

Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don't need models to…
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Posted inStatistics

Temperature Grids, Interpolation, And Over-Certainty

A reader writes: I am a fairly new reader of your blog, coming from WattsUpWithThat and reading with delight and frustration your thoughts on statistics and climate. I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Goodness Of God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We've had…
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  1. Hun on On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing BeliefsJanuary 9, 2026

    What about male genital mutilation? It's common practice in the US for some reason. Actually, the reason is obvious and…

  2. Don B on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 9, 2026

    1. THIS will be the year the long-awaited, often predicted bear will hit the U.S. stock market, precipitating similar bears…

  3. John Pate on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    The amusing thing is one of the facilitators of China's rise is its falling fertility, giving it the breathing space…

  4. Neil Taylor on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 8, 2026

    1. A protester will open fire and kill multiple ICE agents. 2. Kier Starmer will loose his job as leader…

  5. Uncle Mike on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026

    Well then Tars, if depopulating China is your goal, they should definitely end restrictions on births. Because the fewer the…

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