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Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics
May 6, 2025
AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie
May 5, 2025
Class 48: What Is A Model?
May 1, 2025
I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability
April 30, 2025
Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
April 29, 2025
The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!
April 28, 2025
Class 47: Billions Of Models!
April 24, 2025
A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed
April 22, 2025
Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
April 21, 2025
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
April 17, 2025
The Educational Empire Strikes Back
April 16, 2025
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
April 15, 2025
Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
April 14, 2025
Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
April 10, 2025
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
April 9, 2025
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
April 8, 2025
Power Restored, Posts To Resume
April 7, 2025
No posts, class. No power, no internet
April 1, 2025
MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
March 31, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Posted by By Briggs May 8, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs May 7, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inFun

What Should Artists Do About Global Warming Contest

Picture shows artist Sarah Cameron Sunde, who stood in San Francisco Bay on Friday Aug. 15, 2014, "for a full cycle of tides, a more-than 13-hour process." A more than…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology VI: Anthropic Coincidences—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Not Made Of Matter

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. A relatively…
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Posted inStatistics

Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Baby Making, Auto Mishap, ISIS Attacks

This was supposed to run this morning. No idea why it didn't. This week, three letters from concerned readers. Too many babies Dear Scientific Ethicist, Hopefully this subject matter isn't…
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Posted inStatistics

It Makes No Sense To Say You’re More Likely To Die Of Bee Sting Than Shark Bite

The National Journal says: "The odds of being killed by a shark are about 1 in 3.7 million. The odds of being killed by a sting from a bee, wasp,…
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Posted inStatistics

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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