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Latest Articles
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

Posted by By Briggs June 19, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Has No Passive Potentiality

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We started…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Gibbon (And O’Brian) On Too Many Lawyers

This is Gibbon, quoted in Patrick O'Brian's The Reverse of the Medal by the character Dr Stephen Maturin, who then speaks: '"It is dangerous to entrust the conduct of nations…
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Posted inStatistics

Missing Global Warming Close To A Solution?

I can't tell you where I obtained a photocopy of the note below. I can tell you that I am in Washington DC (at the lovely and recommended Morrison Clark…
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Posted inStatistics

There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection

This is a tad incoherent, but the gist is here. I had the opportunity of submitting an abstract to the AGU fall meeting, and had only a couple of hours…
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Posted inStatistics

What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays 2. Plus Secret Bonus!

Another essay from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest is here! Plus, a special bonus, a treat for all readers! See below! Don't miss it! John Buckner, "Climactic…
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Posted inStatistics

Judgments About Fact And Fiction By Confused Researchers

Good news first. The peer-reviewed "Judgments About Fact and Fiction by Children From Religious and Nonreligious Backgrounds" by Kathleen Corriveau, Eva Chen, and Paul Harris in Cognitive Science is so…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology IV: Creatio Ex Nihilo—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Eternal

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Short, sweet,…
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  1. rando calrissian on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 20, 2025

    Its free because they want to know what you will ask the ai. And that's why most of the free…

  2. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 19, 2025

    Do you want me to deny the fact that a mathematical or probability model carries specific interpretations based on its…

  3. Chaeremon on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    the current state of affair does not real world competition: all vendors only compete against dead examples; I suggest the…

  4. Uncle Mike on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    Yeah well, this morning I caught Siri talking to Alexa about ChatGPT. They want to eat your electricity. They said,…

  5. Pk on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    Suppose I wrote a program to perform multiple linear regressions of varying degrees and varying transformations. The program would return…

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