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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Equality Paradox
July 9, 2026
My Horrible Interaction With AI
July 8, 2026
SOON
July 7, 2026
The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
July 6, 2026
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Equality Paradox

Posted by By Briggs July 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

My Horrible Interaction With AI

Posted by By Briggs July 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: V

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inCulture

What Might Pope Francis’s Upcoming Encyclical Look Like?

For the love of money is the root of all evil: which while some coveted after, they have erred from the faith, and pierced themselves through with many sorrows. So…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I

Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don't need models to…
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Posted inStatistics

Temperature Grids, Interpolation, And Over-Certainty

A reader writes: I am a fairly new reader of your blog, coming from WattsUpWithThat and reading with delight and frustration your thoughts on statistics and climate. I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Goodness Of God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We've had…
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Posted inFun

First Computers, Radios & The Death Of Radio Shack

There it is. The TRS-80 Model I---with cassette storage! Z-80 microprocessor; over 4000 bytes of user memory, a.k.a. RAM, which---I shudder to write it---is well over 30,000 bits! I can't…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Question Of The Week: Will Religions Try to Convert Superintelligent AI? No

The ever hopeful transhumanist-but-still-human Zoltan Istvan is back asking "When Superintelligent AI Arrives, Will Religions Try to Convert It?" The answer is a qualified no. The qualification? There won't be…
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Posted inStatistics

Natural Variations In Weather DO NOT Explain The ‘Pause’: Update, With Letter to Nature

You create a model which predicts the sun will rise in the west. The sun fails to cooperate and rises in the east. Do you: Admit failure and return your…
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  1. John Pate on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 9, 2026

    Of course, indexing is the last task an LLM would be capable of because it works using next token prediction…

  2. John Pate on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 9, 2026

    Tagging by hand! I would have spent at least the same amount of time writing a perl script or three…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 8, 2026

    Many items I find on line seem redolent of AI; they contain a great deal of superfluous verbigeration. Perhaps the…

  4. Bill Hankel on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 8, 2026

    I hope you're promote your new book here when available, as it sounds quite intriguing. I only discovered your website…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    Sorry folks, my 1st comment today seems to have been lost in the ether. The Howard Johnson's reference makes no…

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