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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
October 26, 2026
Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
October 22, 2026
I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
October 21, 2026
Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
October 19, 2026
Class 97: The Goal Of Models
October 15, 2026
Book Update
October 14, 2026
Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
October 12, 2026
Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
October 8, 2026
Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
October 5, 2026
Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
October 1, 2026
Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
September 30, 2026
Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
September 28, 2026
Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
September 25, 2026
Whoring For Climate Change
September 23, 2026
Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
September 21, 2026
Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
September 17, 2026
PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
September 16, 2026
The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan Edwards
September 15, 2026
Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AI
September 14, 2026
Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
September 10, 2026
Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris Podcast
September 9, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto

Posted by By Briggs October 26, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality

Posted by By Briggs October 22, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is One I

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Hotting up…
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Posted inCulture

This Partly Explains Why Education Is Such A Mess

I am away from the computer today. Alternate title, A Few Moments With The Teacher's College (Columbia) Record. Many educators are told what to think at this institution before they…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update

Read Part I Part II What we're after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: V

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inCulture

What Might Pope Francis’s Upcoming Encyclical Look Like?

For the love of money is the root of all evil: which while some coveted after, they have erred from the faith, and pierced themselves through with many sorrows. So…
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Posted inStatistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I

Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don't need models to…
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Posted inStatistics

Temperature Grids, Interpolation, And Over-Certainty

A reader writes: I am a fairly new reader of your blog, coming from WattsUpWithThat and reading with delight and frustration your thoughts on statistics and climate. I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Goodness Of God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We've had…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    I'm probably going to croak sometime within the next twenty years, but at least I have the pleasure of being…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    There are thousand year old machines in England still capable of running, though not in general use. I saw a…

  3. NLR on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    All of this is vast speculation. Is it possible for people to live much longer, hundreds of years? Maybe so.…

  4. John Pate on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 23, 2026

    The plasticity available in the brain and CNS is the confounding factor. Nature via nurture. What actually gets expressed is…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 22, 2026

    Across the world, many jurisdictions ban pet "pit bulls". Are they in error?

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