William M. Briggs

“Freedom Includes Total Diversity”

Here's the setup. That wise man Barack Obama nominated James "Wally" Brewster Jr. as Ambassador to the Dominican Republic. Brewster is a well known "bundler" to the administration, adept at…

Culture Philosophy

Government Became Unstoppable Yesterday

Regardless whether you cheered or wept at yesterday's DOMA ruling, you will have done nothing but affirmed your own uninformed prejudices if you do not read the opinions of the…

Philosophy Statistics

Direct And Inverse Probability: The Bayesian Way

Class is almost over! Just three days (including today) left. I'm way behind reading comments. All logic, of which probability is an example, begins with a fixed list of premises…

Statistics

Jumping The Infinity Shark: An Answer To Senn; Part Last

Read Part V From his page 55 (as before slightly edited for HTML/LaTex): Consider the case of a binary event where the two outcomes are success, S, or failure F…

Philosophy Statistics

Bayes Always Works: An Answer To Senn; Part V

Read Part IV. We're almost done. Only one more after this. There are examples without number of the proper use of Bayes's Theorem: the probability you have cancer given a…

Fun

Fingers Lakes Wine Tasting Notes

A few years ago the boss of Guinness toured American micro-breweries and congratulated them for their enterprise, but he also gave them a spot of advice, which, paraphrased, was that…

Fun

Highs And Lows Of Summer Skirts: Guest Post by the Blonde Bombshell

One thing that is admirable about the well-attired man is that if he were to time travel, he would be at home in nearly any era. He may have to…

Statistics

An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2

The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…

Cookie on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 28, 2024
So what does this situation say about who are the best statistician or who have the best understanding of statistics.…
Brian (bulaoren) on Student Protests To End After Finals: TWIDApril 27, 2024
When I was a teenager, I used to spend my Saturdays wandering around the local shopping mall. Why?.. Well, that…
Apollo on The Hierarchy Of Intelligences & IQ: We’re Not As Smart As We ThinkApril 27, 2024
For you, maybe. I know things I shouldn't know. My thinking is beyond your standard "genius"
Heresolong on Student Protests To End After Finals: TWIDApril 27, 2024
"Note that the Republican Speaker is willing to use force to shut down anti-Jewish protests, but cares not one whit…
C-Marie on Student Protests To End After Finals: TWIDApril 26, 2024
Without God at the forefront and wholly throughout, a nation has no backbone, and the children suffer tremendously. God bless,…

William M. Briggs

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?

Women Celebrate As Their Chance To Become A Victim On Campus Just Skyrocketed

Bipartisan Means The Fix Is In

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth Edition

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Winning Is Losing: Yarvin vs Rufo. Added: Was NatCon A Victory?

Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support Israel

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition

MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It

Science Proves Isaac Newton Doesn’t Even Break Into Top 8,000 All Time Greatest Scientists

Look! Up In The Sky! It’s BIRD FLU!

Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

Triumphant Return of The Week In Doom! Birth Prevention Edition

Artificial Intelligence and Irrational Fears — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics

Never Safety First

Changes & Announcing The Uncertainty Probability Science Statistics Class