William M. Briggs

Preface: The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction

%This is the Preface of The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction coming before Preface and before the chapters on Truth and Logic. Note the New & Improved title!…

Culture Philosophy

Science Is Only A Matter Of Culture, A Different Way Of Knowing?

Since it's Easter, it's high time we confronted a devastating argument against science. Hold onto your test tubes, fellow beings, your faith is about to be shaken. Isn't it true…

Book review Philosophy

To Coyne A Review: Did Jerry Coyne Really Read David Bentley Hart’s Book?

It took Jerry Coyne a while, but it appears---or rather, I should say there is weak and not overly convincing evidence---that the man has finally read David Bentley Hart's The…

Culture

The Absurdity Of Reducing The Income Gap

Jim Fedako (who wrote this piece; send him email) is a business analyst and homeschooling father of seven who lives in Lewis Center, OH. Mr. George (rising): Madam Speaker, pardon…

Philosophy Statistics

Is God’s Existence Confirmed By Prophecy Via Probability?

I came across a curious book by Marvin Bittinger, a mathematics educator, called The Faith Equation: One Mathematician's Journey in Christianity. I'm a sucker for books like this, which seek…

Statistics

On UFOs, Salt Intake, And Heart Disease

Michael "State of Fear" Crichton once proposed that UFOs were responsible for global warming. Why not? After all, something caused that record amount of snow in Detroit yesterday. Don't get…

Culture Statistics

Government Per Capita Spending: Up, Up, And Away! Or, Happy Tax Day!

Here it is, folks. Right from WhiteHouse.gov. The amount of Federal Government spending per capita from 1901 to the present and projected out to 2019. Population projections were taken from…

Philosophy Statistics

The Hot Hand: Statistical Fluke Or Genuine Article?

I'll save you hunting through the text. It's a real thing. If you want to know why, read on. If not, you just tell 'em W.M. Briggs sez so, which…

The True Nolan on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 11, 2026
If Dawkins were more honest or perhaps more insightful he would say that "Claudia responds AS IF she were conscious."…
RW Pearson on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
In liberal California, I luckily live in Orange County, where our good Sheriff is issuing CCW permits and they are…
Cary D Cotterman on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
For murderers and certain other committers of heinous crimes, I am for trials and death sentences on Fridays, the weekend…
Chad Jessup on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
How about three strikes, and you're dead, which of course would only be for the very violent criminals. Why warehouse…
shawn marshall on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
General Pyotr Wrangel in his bokk "Always with Honor" immediately stopped the predation by his own troo[s upon peasants by…

William M. Briggs

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model