William M. Briggs

Guinness, Heineken, & Sam Adams Now Political Statements, Not Beer

I was on the edge of abandoning Guinness anyway. Bars in Manhattan have been selling 13 ounce "pints" of it---and charging for 16 ounces---for the past few months. (If the…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

It’s Time To Lynch Those Who Deny Climate Skepticism

Let us agree with the enlightened that the world is imperfect and ought not to be. The cause of imperfection is human error which ought to be eradicated with extreme…

Culture Statistics

It Was Right To Dumb Down The SAT

It's difficult to design a test such that all those taking it do not all do well nor all do poorly. For instance, suppose the SAT were to consist of…

Philosophy Statistics

The Probability Of A Bottle Broken Into N Pieces When Struck By A Hammer

Logic is the study of relationships between propositions, and probability, which is the same, is thus the completion of logic to instances where the relationships are not certain. From this…

Culture Philosophy

If I Must Sell, You Must Buy

Note that this is from Jim Fedako. If I were a business owner, must I sell to you? If you answer yes, you must balance that requirement with your obligation…

Statistics

Betting Begins On Next Official “Orientation” Letter

I started this before I learned of Facebook's 50+ "gender" identities. But because our government will surely involve itself, what is below still has force. What will be the next…

Philosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part II

Read Part I. We haven't made use of our time machine in Jesus's case. So I ask you, is it possible that if we go far enough into the future,…

Philosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part I

Let's you and me see if we can figure out what caused little Jimmy Engstrom to crawl back from the brink of death. I'm not a physician and I'm assuming…

Johnno on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
"“How many souls make it to Heaven” is an attribute that can’t be expressed with variable data." We can at…
Johnno on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
"What does it mean to say that “a religion is true”? IF? does this imply there are fake religions?" Yes.…
Johnno on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 17, 2026
Doctors also eat at McDonald's. I have seen them. I have evidence! I dare say, some even hold stock options…
John M on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
"How many souls make it to Heaven" is an attribute that can't be expressed with variable data.
Brian (bulaoren) on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
As it happens, Stephen Pinker and I were at the same university, around the same time. No, I don't recall…

William M. Briggs

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Guinness, Heineken, & Sam Adams Now Political Statements, Not Beer

It’s Time To Lynch Those Who Deny Climate Skepticism

It Was Right To Dumb Down The SAT

The Probability Of A Bottle Broken Into N Pieces When Struck By A Hammer

If I Must Sell, You Must Buy

Betting Begins On Next Official “Orientation” Letter

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part II

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part I

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification