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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Posted by By Briggs February 19, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Posted by By Briggs February 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Bake Your Own Damn Cake

A new joke. Setup: What do you call it when two guys head to City Hall and undergo a ceremony meant to tie their finances together until one of them…
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Posted inBook review Culture Philosophy

You Can’t Get Something From Nothing: The Experience of God, Part II

Read Part I You can't get there from here It's difficult, thus far impossible, to get Enlightened persons to understand nothing. Lord knows it's been tried. Some physicists---Larry Krauss, Vic…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Best Picture Oscar Winner: Model Prediction

For several years I have been predicting (with perfect accuracy) the best picture Oscar. (See this and this for past years.) The "model" pick for this year is Captain Phillips.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why You Should Care About The Philosophy Of Probability & Statistics

"Why, Dr Briggs," asks the earnest Student, "Why must we study all this gobbledegook about philosophy when it's more important to learn all the neat methods of handling data? Why…
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Posted inCulture

Briggs And The Owl: A Refutation Of Atheism

Note this is not your usual author."The owl of Minerva spreads its wings and takes flight when the shades of night are falling." --Hegel Or, as explained by Wikipedia, "[P]hilosophy…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part I

The Experience of God: Being, Consciousness, Bliss by David Bentley Hart. A good joke A joke which many atheists think clever goes like this: (speaking to a theist) "You reject…
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Posted inStatistics

Update On The On-line Probability & Statistics Course. Comments Wanted

It's been a while, but I think I've finally figured out how to make an on-line class work. Details about this will be forthcoming, but for now I wanted to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Prosecute Global Warming Heretics. Update 2: Kill, Nuremberg Them, Too!

Prosecute the heretics! is the new cry from the high priests of global warming. Climate "deniers", they say, are no better than mobsters, good fellas who are extorting the climate,…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

  2. Johnno on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    But Briggs... we pay people to make decisions on our behalf... Government exists, and it MUST do SOMETHING!!! What are…

  3. Johnno on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    BRIGGS YOU FOOL OF ARTIFICIALITY! Aye Eye exists for one reason and ONE REASON ONLY! To INCREASE Shareholder Value! If…

  4. JH on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    Maybe you mean “knowledge” instead of “belief.” When my daughter was in ninth grade, I asked her about evidence for…

  5. gareth on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    Yes "AI" is just computer models. Better - in the sense of more competent in tasks than before. This does…

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