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William M. Briggs

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Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

Posted by By Briggs June 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

Posted by By Briggs June 3, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Statistics

Prosecute Global Warming Heretics. Update 2: Kill, Nuremberg Them, Too!

Prosecute the heretics! is the new cry from the high priests of global warming. Climate "deniers", they say, are no better than mobsters, good fellas who are extorting the climate,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Mysticism Of Randomness: Philosophy of Probability & Statistics Video Series

Nothing can be caused by "chance". Chance, like randomness, isn't a thing, it isn't real, it isn't physical, therefore it cannot cause anything. Randomness means "unknown." Therefore "random variables" are…
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Posted inCulture

From Latin & Greek To Remedial English

From Twitter's @LeMarquand came this picture: An overstatement, sure. Not every high school went in for amo, amas, amat or saw students parsing snatches of The Odyssey in the original.…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The “Right” To This, That, And The Other Thing

A good friend of mine, an inveterate lefty who tortures himself by reading Think Progress and other horror sites designed to confirm the worst fears of their readers, posted this…
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Posted inCulture

Surprise! A Professional Organization Comes Out Against Euthanasia

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/436146531503058946 In James Bradley's Flyboys he relates how the Japanese in Manchuria would line up Chinese citizens for the benefit of Japanese army recruits to bayonette. Most were squeamish at…
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Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim Gays Who Face Prejudice Live Shorter Lives

The Daily Mail reported it like this: "Gay people who face regular homophobic abuse have a shorter life expectancy than those who live in more tolerant communities." Homophobic abuse, they…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Scientists: Moral Traits Considered Most Essential Part Of Identity

Answer me this. You're on the job and the fancy iH20 cooler (with remote iPhone app) blows and shoots a bolt through your skull. The doctors say removing the bolt…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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    Whatever schedule keeps you posting is fine by me. As far as email notifications, I don’t always get them so…

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    Yes. Quite an amazing oeuvre. Nothing like it elsewhere. KUTGW.

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    Dr.Briggs, I'm a long-time subscriber. (Years and years.) What I have always liked is that you write because you have…

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    How about a monthly or bi-weekly podcast? The Z-Man had this and it rounded out his written articles. Many of…

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    Dear Dr. Briggs For some years now, I have enjoyed reading your posts while I wash down my morning vitamins…

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