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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

From Latin & Greek To Remedial English

From Twitter's @LeMarquand came this picture: An overstatement, sure. Not every high school went in for amo, amas, amat or saw students parsing snatches of The Odyssey in the original.…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The “Right” To This, That, And The Other Thing

A good friend of mine, an inveterate lefty who tortures himself by reading Think Progress and other horror sites designed to confirm the worst fears of their readers, posted this…
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Posted inCulture

Surprise! A Professional Organization Comes Out Against Euthanasia

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/436146531503058946 In James Bradley's Flyboys he relates how the Japanese in Manchuria would line up Chinese citizens for the benefit of Japanese army recruits to bayonette. Most were squeamish at…
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Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim Gays Who Face Prejudice Live Shorter Lives

The Daily Mail reported it like this: "Gay people who face regular homophobic abuse have a shorter life expectancy than those who live in more tolerant communities." Homophobic abuse, they…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Scientists: Moral Traits Considered Most Essential Part Of Identity

Answer me this. You're on the job and the fancy iH20 cooler (with remote iPhone app) blows and shoots a bolt through your skull. The doctors say removing the bolt…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Is Logic: Philosophy of Probability & Statistics Video Series

I'm starting---and even continuing, if there is interest---a new video series on the philosophy of probability and statistics. Look at those retro production values! I boast of them following Julia…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

On Intelligence & Religiosity

Take a pencil and paper---do this---and write down the most intelligent people who have ever lived. Most brilliant in any field of endeavor, now. Who were the best of us?…
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  1. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  2. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

  3. Andras Kuthi on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 19, 2026

    Contemplate that Epstein won the New Mexico lottery...so much for randomly generated numbers.

  4. Rich on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 18, 2026

    Perhaps she and her friends would accept being paid according to the indigenous mathematics of crows who can, apparently, count…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Lunatics like this Kather are well-paid and get great benefits for putting out hooey like that. People pay a lot…

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