Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy
How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…
Posted inStatistics
How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?
Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
Posted inStatistics
Something Has Gone Seriously Wrong With “Climate Change” Science
When my boys and I seize power and I become emperor, the very first thing I do (after having the mess hosed clean) is to place a strict two-year moratorium…
Posted inStatistics
Experts: Everybody In Europe Died From Breathing Toxic Air
A toxin, as the redoubtable reader undoubtedly knows, is a poison. And a poison, says Mr Webster, is that which causes "morbid, noxious, or deadly effects". People who ingest or…
Posted inStatistics
All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
Posted inPodcast Statistics
Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal
That peer-reviewed, and therefore indisputable, paper we wrote showing, as many have showed, that "climate change" is overblown has been getting a lot of publicity. Before we come to that,…
Posted inStatistics
The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2
My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…