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Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy
Posted inStatistics

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…
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Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine
Posted inStatistics

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…
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“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All
Posted inStatistics

“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All

My goodness, what a distinguished list of AI Scientists and "Notable Figures" who have signed the "Statement on AI Risk". Important professors of computer science from top universities. Men, and…
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How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event
Posted inStatistics

How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event

We had the fourth Broken Science Initiative event this past Saturday at the Castro Ranch in Aromas, California. Which is apparently where CrossFit got its start. Standing room only. Terrific…
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It Will Soon Be Impossible For You Not To Be Sick, Even If You’re Healthy
Posted inCulture Statistics

It Will Soon Be Impossible For You Not To Be Sick, Even If You’re Healthy

It's too late for you, doomed reader. You know I love you, but I may have killed you. This makes me sad. Unless you are one of my despised enemies.…
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Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed
Posted inStatistics

Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed

This site is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Introduction Steve Kirsch ran a survey asking parents to say about their kids how many vaccinations of all…
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Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch
Posted inStatistics

Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch

Nature headline: "Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day." Good joke: "Went from…
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Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study
Posted inStatistics

Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study

Headline from 2014: "Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report". Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs…
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  1. Chad W Jessup on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    I would like to add to your excellent post that there were probably thousands and thousands, if not millions, of…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    John, I don't troll. Never have, never would. Google "projection", there's a good fellow. I asked a question, hoping to…

  3. John Pate on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    If only people still had faith in chicken entrails this would all be unnecessary.

  4. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    Eschenbach, you're trolling and Briggs humours you, it is amusing. Somehow Briggs can't shake off the embrace of scientism in…

  5. On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World” – William M. Briggs on Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To CoronavirusNovember 18, 2025

    […] to those who were sober and not grasping, avaricious, or panicked. Those who kept their calm from the beginning…

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