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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall
Posted inClass

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: You…
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Case Study In Making Science Propaganda: Cooking Becomes Pollution
Posted inCulture

Case Study In Making Science Propaganda: Cooking Becomes Pollution

Major Headline! "That mouth-watering aroma of fresh food cooking? It may be degrading air quality". Story opens thus: It’s been known for years that cooking indoors can taint the air…
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Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis
Posted inStatistics

Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis

Dear reader, this will be a tad difficult, but I urge you to plow through as best you can, because this is becoming "a thing" in some areas. I stripped…
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What Postmodernists Got Right About Science
Posted inStatistics

What Postmodernists Got Right About Science

Maybe you can remember way back to the mid to late 1990s. Ancient history. This was the time of the original Science Wars, the assault by rapid postmodernists (i.e, the…
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Class 9: Nothing Has A Probability: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science:
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 9: Nothing Has A Probability: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science:

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: Find a contentious event, some P and the disputed evidence Q, and describe (in words; we haven't done numbers…
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How To Set Up As A Global Warming, Now Called “Climate Change”, Researcher
Posted inStatistics

How To Set Up As A Global Warming, Now Called “Climate Change”, Researcher

Are you one of the many who have recognized the path to success is to show how the world will end, women and minorities hardest hit, but you don't know…
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The Woke-Right Commentariat Embraces Doctor Killings
Posted inCulture

The Woke-Right Commentariat Embraces Doctor Killings

Headline: "Physically healthy Dutch woman Zoraya ter Beek, 29, dies by assisted suicide". 29-year-old Zoraya ter Beek’s life was terminated last week after waiting three years for final approval for…
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Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification
Posted inPhilosophy

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

We continue our series of wondering about the foundations of science. Not only is mechanistic materialism false, for the many reasons we'll discuss, but it is a thoroughly enervating philosophy.…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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