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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Contest Winner Announced!

Posted by By Briggs April 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Posted by By Briggs April 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inFun Philosophy

Thomas Aquinas & Philosophical Realism

Dozens of big brains, and one fat head held aloft by Yours Truly, crammed into a small room yesterday to hear all there was to know, more or less, about…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Obamacare Predictions: How’d We Do So Far?

One of life's real pleasures, though it lessens us to admit it, is when we get to say I told you so. Nobody in the world, except those who believe…
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Posted inStatistics

Beneficent Government To Ban Another Thing (Trans Fats)

Studies show the government cares about you more than you care about you, that the government loves you more than your fractured ability to love it back, that this most…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Students Eschewing Humanities In Favor Of Science

The Times is reporting that students are high-tailing it away from the humanities, scurrying into "STEM" departments. STEM is the educational buzzword of the day---theorists in education surf from fad…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Boston Globe’s Failed Assassination Of Willie Soon

Christopher Rowland, the Washington Bureau Chief for the Boston Globe, is not a child molester. The Boston Globe has covered child molestation stories, suspiciously at times when Rowland was with…
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Posted inCulture

What Happens When Research Yields Unpopular Findings

After learning the gabbling Stephan Lewandowsky was able to complain in the Associate for Psychological Science's Observer magazine that some loon called him a self-contradictory bad name, I became curious…
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Posted inStatistics

Women With Large Posteriors Live Longer? Or Is Medical Reporting Nonsense?

When reader Bruce Foutch sent me the article "Ghanaian women with big buttocks will live longer---Research", I first thought, "Here's a story a Bayesian can really sink his teeth into"…
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Posted inCulture

The Supraterranean War On Sanity: Scientists Versus Civilians

Cast your mind back to 1980. Nobody, not a soul, knew that gaspers, coffin nails, and cancer sticks were bad for you.1 Tobacco companies used an advanced form of mind…
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  1. Ronaldo Conneely on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I usually agree with your analysis of the situation but ( I know everything before the but is a lie)…

  2. C-Marie on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Am thinking that President Trump can be rescued only by a true apology to all Christians for his rant on…

  3. Robert Arvanitis on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Alas, it's over. I came originally for the math, browsed the politics. And now it's over. Many tried to quantify…

  4. veco on Another False Flag? — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    https://www.newenglishreview.org/staying-positive-in-dark-times/

  5. Steve on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I've come to expect much better from Ianto Watt. I'm not talking about the Daniel stuff -- people have and…

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