William M. Briggs

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…

Statistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…

Statistics

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…

Statistics

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

Statistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…

Statistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…

Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026
I’m ready to give up the right to vote.
spetzer86 on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 5, 2026
Could this scenario validate (A) and (D)? (A): When living in a country with a strong, pervasive religious belief, particularly…
spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026
I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.
Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026
Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…
Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026
Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…

William M. Briggs

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification