William M. Briggs

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…

Statistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…

Statistics

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…

Statistics

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

Statistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…

Statistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…

John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026
Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…
C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…
Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
@Cary I'm not sure what a "Martian giant" is... Elon Musk? I tried Google but all I found was a…
John M on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
Liberalism Is a Mental Disorder by Michael Savage, ISBN 1-59555-006-2
Cary D Cotterman on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026
You speak wisdom, Martian giant.

William M. Briggs

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification