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Latest Articles
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
May 13, 2025
Academics Call Pregnancy A Disease
May 12, 2025
Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Posted by By Briggs June 12, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2025
Continue Reading
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
Posted inStatistics

Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?

Every claim of cause deserves to be examined on its merits, and in the context in which it is offered. Dismissing claims out-of-hand is dogmatic. Not all claims can be…
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Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
Posted inStatistics

Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active

One lesson I've worked hard at imparting is that scientists, being generally of slightly above average intelligence, and sometimes more, excel at finding evidence which supports their beliefs. But that…
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Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
Posted inStatistics

Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification

Every scientist loves to say that of theories and models that are falsifiable are "scientific". Alas, this excludes by nature and in practice all models and theories used by scientists.…
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New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
Posted inStatistics

New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look

Can flu vaccine give you flu? New paper seems to say yes. Their conclusion: "the risk of influenza was significantly higher for the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated state...yielding a…
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A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
Posted inStatistics

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
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Power Restored, Posts To Resume
Posted inStatistics

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

When the power came on, I was playing my cheap electric piano, and I had hit the wrong key. Which I hit more wrong than right ones, so that wasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

No posts, class. No power, no internet

Might be days or a week before back. More ice snow tomorrow. I won't see comments, so thanks for understanding.
Read More
MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
Posted inStatistics

MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies

No power at the Briggs ranch, so I won't see any comments. There are two meanings to zombie. The first are walking corpse, one of the rapacious undead who prowl…
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  1. hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025

    I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…

  2. NLR on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 11, 2025

    It's not just that the effects of technology are complex, it's that there's no guarantee that the results will fit…

  3. Cloudbuster on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025

    "Anyway, murder is illegal, too, yet murder is still with us. So it shouldn’t be strange that forbidding scientists to…

  4. Mike Wooly on Cosmic Radiation, Clouds, & Global WarmingJune 10, 2025

    The IPCC report that anthropogenic warming is around 0.2 degrees C per decade. That's two hundredths of a degree C…

  5. Chaeremon on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025

    IMHO the dot ai bubble, as direct follower of the dot com bubble, is trying to instantiate Gödel's incompleteness theorems,…

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