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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers

Posted by By Briggs June 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

Posted by By Briggs June 4, 2026
Continue Reading
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
Posted inStatistics

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

There is no Class this week, due to events. Here are the first 100 numbers in a series I constructed: 0.3987654 ,0.9560464 ,0.1675681 ,0.5562341 ,0.9843035 ,0.06160958 ,0.2305416 ,0.7073786 ,0.8254209 ,0.5746259…
Read More
It’s The End Of The World Again
Posted inStatistics

It’s The End Of The World Again

It's only a matter of time. This world had a beginning, and all created things have beginnings and ends. Thus, this world will have an end. I want to stress…
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Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
Posted inStatistics

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Some waffle-stuffed Belgian judge has threatened to toss little Nate Cofnas into a Belgian hoosegow, presumably on the French side where they serve stale cheese, bad baguettes and English wine,…
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Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
Posted inStatistics

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Announcement: I wrote this Class for a general audience. Anybody can read it. And should if they are interested in Science. There's only a little notation, which can be ignored…
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The Great Effeminization of the Academy
Posted inStatistics

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

An expected and obvious consequence of the Great Effeminization of the Academy is that a great deal of academic output is now about the feelings of academics. From the peer-reviewed…
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The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
Posted inStatistics

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

I can't recommend the debate---surely too strong a word; let's instead say the sit-down---between Ross Douthat, a New York Times employee, and Stephen Pinker, an academic, except for one thing.…
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Posted inStatistics

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Here is a recent Lancet cover, which itself is an excellent argument doctors, which is to say body mechanics, ought not to be put in charge of public health. My…
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Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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  1. bruce g charlton on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026

    Ultimately IQ tests are "pen and paper tests", and share their intrinsic limitations and assumptions*. The reason IQ tests were…

  2. Rich on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 7, 2026

    What Blaine said. Thanks.

  3. Chad Jessup on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    I am very happy for any information you post, so whatever suits your time and interests is fine with me.…

  4. Steve on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    The bikini rule -- less is more, but it has to cover all the important stuff. As with human bodies,…

  5. Heresolong on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026

    Yes.

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