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Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance

Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
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Mask Forever, Says Experts’ Model, It Saves Lives!
Posted inStatistics

Mask Forever, Says Experts’ Model, It Saves Lives!

Here's a question for you, brought to you by propagandists: "Could permanent masks in public become Vic policy?" And here's the headline: "Could wearing masks in public be the answer…
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How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Posted inStatistics

How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series

Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Posted inStatistics

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…
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  1. Tars Tarkas on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    "The Drake and Fermi are not flawed logically: one can put probabilities to any question." The Drake equation always struck…

  2. NLR on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    There may or may not be extraterrestrial life, but if we ever see some, I suspect there will be surprises.…

  3. Douglas Skinner on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    The other bookend paired with the Drake/Fermi speculations is Evolution. In this January's edition of First Things Magazine comes a…

  4. C-Marie on Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor KillingsDecember 29, 2025

    God loves you. Let Him take you home when it is time. In the mean time, give to our Father…

  5. C. P. Benischek on Merry Christmas!December 29, 2025

    God Rest Ye Merry, Gentle Briggs! Don’t dismay, Christmas isn’t yet over, but rather just warming up. A Child is…

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