William M. Briggs

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…

Statistics

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…

Culture

The Biological Reason Why America Meddles In So Many Conflicts Around The World

Ever see My Big Fat Greek Wedding? Charming story about a homely aging waitress with a large, fairly well off Greek family, who finds a nice, though dull, young man,…

Culture

Australian Feminists & Katharine Hayhoe Weep Over White Men Who Do Not Love “Climate Change”

Busy day at the Briggs compound, and I only have time to tell you, with regret, that the feminists are at it again. Turns out there is a journal, and…

Culture

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

The BMJ, once a preeminent journal of medicine, which is to say, doctors talking to other doctors about which cure works for which disease, and which doesn't, has taken up…

Statistics

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…

Culture

Our Next — And Last — President, Gavin “Gruesome” Newsom

Newsweek: Donald Trump Followers Targeted by FBI as 2024 Election Nears The federal government believes that the threat of violence and major civil disturbances around the 2024 U.S. presidential election…

Culture Statistics

The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors

The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…

Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025
John W, Garrett, You are welcome.
Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025
I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…
John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025
S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.
Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025
JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…
JDinPA on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025
CCReed: That’s a disturbing take on the late Z-Man in at least two senses: 1) If true, Z-Man was perpetrating…

William M. Briggs

The Sad End Of Radio

Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!

Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification

England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women

On The Probability Of God

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

The Sad End Of Radio

Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

The Biological Reason Why America Meddles In So Many Conflicts Around The World

Australian Feminists & Katharine Hayhoe Weep Over White Men Who Do Not Love “Climate Change”

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Our Next — And Last — President, Gavin “Gruesome” Newsom

The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification