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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Posted by By Briggs March 5, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Posted by By Briggs March 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Where’s Your Poppy? — The Blonde Bombshell Speaks

Memorial Day in the Midwest isn't just celebrated on the last Monday of May, but it starts weeks before when volunteers from the local VFW stage themselves in front of…
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Posted inStatistics

Top 15 Posts Of All Time: My Choice

When last we met, that sodden yet miserably cold, supposedly summer-ish day, we gandered at the top 20 posts of all time, as decided by you, the reader. It's not…
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Posted inFun

Top 20 Posts Of All Time: Reader’s Choice

Start of long weekend, where the Nation trips happily outside into the warm summer sun. Well, sun anyway---more or less. Not really summer, either. Turns out the climate change forecasts…
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Posted inStatistics

The Sexual Habits Of The Tunisian Male Quantified At Last

You know that we have begun at the peak and that it's all downhill when a scientific paper starts with a sentence like this: La sexualité occupe une place très…
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Posted inStatistics

People Growing Dumber Or Research Growing Slacker?

If there was ever a paper which was in danger of refuting itself by its title, this is it. "Were the Victorians cleverer than us? The decline in general intelligence…
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Posted inStatistics

What’s The Official Name For Governance By Thuggery?

To summarize what we know, but only in brief and leaving out many smaller scandals: The White House lied about the cause of Benghazi. They knowingly, willingly, and falsely claimed…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part IV

Read Part III Just review and clarification this time, folks. Dirty hard work. But necessary given the confusion from last post. Time to pump some neurons! Next time we---finally!---get to…
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  1. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  2. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  3. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  4. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

  5. C-Marie on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    God is!!! Well done, Matt!! Loved this! Great explanations .... even understood much of it at 82 years!!! Am sending…

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