William M. Briggs

Data Mining, PRISM, NSA & False Positives: Update

Remember how---this is a really brief history lesson--remember how the NSA, CIA, FBI, and many other of those lettered agencies with their ever-increasing budgets, super-sophisticated computers, genius brain mathematicians, statisticians,…

Philosophy Statistics

What Should Philosophers Of Statistics Do?

A while back, far longer than it should have been, D.G. Mayo asked me to stop by her place and comment on a couple of posts. But laziness and excessive…

Philosophy Statistics

Never Say “Caused By Chance”

One of the services of this blog is grammatical guidance. In that spirit, here are phrases which should be forbidden, and will be once I am in charge (all highlights…

Book review Culture

George Weigel’s Evangelical Catholicism, A Brief Review

Evangelical Catholicism: Deep Reform in the 21st-Century Church, George Weigel. The Good Old Days may never have existed, but surely there were better days. Worse days, too. It is also…

Statistics

The Consensus On Global Cooling

It is an interesting exercise to read press reports of the Consensus. The Consensus as was, not as is. The Consensus as of 1975, when the sky was literally going…

Culture Philosophy

Relevance, Tolerance, And Vanishing Christianity

From Tim Stanley of the Telegraph: America's liberal Christians might be progressive and inclusive, but they are also dying out. The marketing mantra of liberal Christianity is "change or die."…

Fun

Taiwanese And Chinese Toilet Icons

I found these on a public toilet in Ping Shi, more famous for its lantern festival. It's only a matter of time before tourists flock to see them. I was…

Statistics

Tweet Hate Map: Awful, Really Awful Use Of Statistics

I give you "Dr" Monica Stephens from Humbolt State University and her widely dispersed Twitter "Hate Map." The thumbnail here doesn't give the picture the full injustice it deserves, so…

C-Marie on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
Well said, everyone! So, do read Matthew 24 to know what Jesus said about the end times. God bless, C-Marie
Cary D Cotterman on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
You can google the rarest of all animal species, some of which have only a few known living examples on…
Philip Rogan on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
"To Serve Man."
Zundfolge on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
I've been saying for some time that the public is being primed for a faux First Contact scenario (ala Project…
NLR on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026
If there really were a species that could travel here from another planet, that would be something totally outside the…

William M. Briggs

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly