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Latest Articles
Class 57: The Second Best Model
July 10, 2025
Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep Apnea
July 9, 2025
What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s Study
July 8, 2025
The Unseen Bias In All Science
July 7, 2025
The Sad End Of Radio
July 3, 2025
Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!
July 2, 2025
Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)
July 1, 2025
How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
June 30, 2025
Class 56: The Best Model!
June 26, 2025
Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification
June 25, 2025
England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women
June 24, 2025
On The Probability Of God
June 23, 2025
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 57: The Second Best Model

Posted by By Briggs July 10, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep Apnea

Posted by By Briggs July 9, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…
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Posted inStatistics

Last Night’s Republican Debate

Off in service today, so only a brief word. Debate results: Romney had an easy base hit to center field, Gingrich doubled but with no men on base, Santorum hit…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Santorum And The ‘S’ Word

President Obama has told us, and we can scarcely disbelieve him, that he is a Christian. At a recent prayer breakfast, Mr Obama said: [The prayer breakfast is] a chance…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Why There’s No Point To Arguing About Abortion

I lifted that title, word for word, from (atheist, self-admitted man-of-the-left, City College emeritus Professor of Sociology) Steven Goldberg's article of the same name from his must-read Fads and Fallacies…
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  1. Neil Upton on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 10, 2025

    some time ago it was said that to ensure a research grant the proposal should make reference to global boiling.…

  2. Uncle Mike on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 9, 2025

    The Climate Catastrophe paradigm is dead. RIP. The old adherents are howling at the moon, but Science has moved on.…

  3. Cloudbuster on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 9, 2025

    "New York and Ohio, which are cool" Please explain to my sweat glands how Ohio is cool so I shouldn't…

  4. Cary Cotterman on What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s StudyJuly 8, 2025

    There is a significant correlation between golf and the wearing of ugly pants.

  5. Rudolph Harrier on What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s StudyJuly 8, 2025

    Yeah, the second I heard "Olmstead County" my mind went to the Mayo Clinic too. Both the Mayo Clinic proper…

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