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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Posted by By Briggs May 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

Posted by By Briggs May 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inBook review Philosophy

Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part II

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. Act and Potential TLS is not a complete work of theology or philosophy,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

USA Homicide Rates: 1950-2010; By Race And Sex

How has the homicide rate changed through time? The Bureau of Justice Statistics of our great government compiles statistics on just this kind of thing. This data arises from the…
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Posted inCulture

Chick-fil-A And Bigotry: One Aspect Of What Marriage Is

"Chick-Fil-A Shattered Sales Records On 'Chick-Fil-A Appreciation Day'" so reads the headline at Business Insider. Many are not so happy about this. In a unintentionally hilarious video (especially when he…
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Posted inStatistics

Question About Non-Normal Distributions

Thanks to everybody who sent in links, story tips, and suggestions. Because of my recent travel and pressures of work, I'm (again) way behind in answering these. I do appreciate…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

More Proof Music Is Growing Worse

New proof (which wasn't really need) that popular music is, as has long been claimed, been growing worse has arrived thanks to the diligent work of Joan Serrà and his…
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Posted inStatistics

Müller lite: Why Every Scientist Needs a Classical Training—Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

His Lordship sent this around to all the usual suspects asking that it be given a wide audience. I'm traveling today. About 18 months ago, as soon as I heard…
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Posted inStatistics

Richard Muller’s Political Move—BEST is Best? Sophisticated Statistics!

Our Berkeley Earth approach used sophisticated statistical methods developed largely by our lead scientist, Robert Rohde, which allowed us to determine earth land temperature much further back in time. Ah,…
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Posted inStatistics

Doctors For Disaster Preparedness Talk

Here's the PDF of my talk DDP 30th Annual Meeting. "Statistical Follies and Epidemiology." They picked the title. Have fun!
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

  2. Steve on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    Briggs, you fool! You should know by now that extraterrestrials have image blurring technology. And before you ask, yes, they…

  3. McChuck on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    "Tomorrow Tomorrow never comes What kind of a fool Do they take me for? Tomorrow A resting place for bums…

  4. Philip Rogan on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    All I can say after reading the linked article is that I'm glad I'm not a professional academic philosopher.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    If a space-alien ever confronts me, and says "Take me to your leader", I will direct him (they?) to you.

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