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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Posted by By Briggs April 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy

Descartes Knew More Than He Thought

You can only know what is true. For example, everybody knows the statement "If p is true then p is true" is true (just why in a moment). You can…
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Posted inStatistics

Brain Atrophy Responsible For Religious Belief?

Readers can help me choose the best metaphor. (1) A snowball which starts the size of a pea but gains in strength and speed as it rolls downhill, mindlessly consuming…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Drive On Tax Day! You Might Die

This is it. The day to traipse to the post office and mail in your income tax papers. In farm lingo, this is the time swill the pigs. To feed…
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Posted inStatistics

Obama Doesn’t Have A Chance

I have returned from a week away from the computer. Announcements to follow tomorrow. I am going to tell you of several conversations in which I took part over the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part V

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part I Part II, Part III Part IV, Part V It's time to hear from our enemies on what they say maximal diversity is. The…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part IV

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part I Part II, Part III Part IV We have shown that limited, and only limited, maximal diversity of physical characteristic is logically possible. However,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…
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  1. C-Marie on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Am thinking that President Trump can be rescued only by a true apology to all Christians for his rant on…

  2. Robert Arvanitis on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Alas, it's over. I came originally for the math, browsed the politics. And now it's over. Many tried to quantify…

  3. veco on Another False Flag? — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    https://www.newenglishreview.org/staying-positive-in-dark-times/

  4. Steve on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I've come to expect much better from Ianto Watt. I'm not talking about the Daniel stuff -- people have and…

  5. John M on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    It always annoys me when people try to guess what God is specifically going to do.

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