William M. Briggs

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Richard S. on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
Thank you, Dr. Briggs for your concise piece focusing primarily upon whether leftist "liberal" elites can be persuaded by facts…
Uncle Mike on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
"The joyful slaughter of millions" is addicting. They can't stop. No one can stop them, except by killing them, which…
Richard Stevens on Stay The Course: Have Some ClassNovember 4, 2025
Zelle Donation on its way! Dr. Briggs, you're a rare and cherished commodity in this era! Loved your "Everything" book…
spetzer86 on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
NLR - there's always Google on African massacres. Stuff happens all over, even if you live on a continent that…
NLR on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
For some time now, equality has been used as a bludgeon, but the people implementing it are not acting in…

William M. Briggs

Little Nate’s Plan To Save The World

Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education Causes Mass Squealing

Stay The Course: Have Some Class

Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers

UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!

Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970s

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

The Triumph Of The Feminine

At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?

The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had

Class 69: Why Parameters Don’t Exist

Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living Forever

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

Big Things Are Happening With Celebrities, The Pope & “Climate Change”!

The Main Barrier To Reproduction Is Ideas

Little Nate’s Plan To Save The World

Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education Causes Mass Squealing

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification