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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
July 15, 2026
University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing
July 13, 2026
The Equality Paradox
July 9, 2026
My Horrible Interaction With AI
July 8, 2026
SOON
July 7, 2026
The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
July 6, 2026
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics

Posted by By Briggs July 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing

Posted by By Briggs July 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inFun

Open Thread: What To Chat About Next?

It is once again Travel Day---or was: I'm writing this in state of advanced jet lag. So, in lieu of thought I've written this little introduction to nothing, hoping you…
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Posted inStatistics

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…
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Posted inCulture

Make Colleges Co-Signers Of Student Loans?

As often has been said, if everybody is a genius, then nobody is. The wisdom in this apothegm is little changed by the modification: if everybody has a certification of…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Science Explains Belief In God Through Genetics

Let's look at "Life's Extremes: Atheists vs. Believers", a piece on Live Science (the home of unexpurgated university press releases; hat tip to HotAir). The article is itself slight---it begins…
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Posted inStatistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…
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Posted inStatistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026

    I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…

  2. JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…

  3. hudbwu on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Hume: "People saying things doesn't translate into rules for living." Stultes: "OMG I can do whatever I want!" If only…

  4. hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026

    @Rudolph Harrier: it's weird that you mention D&D in relation to LLMs. In my experience, nothing shows the utter impotence…

  5. hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026

    A moment of silence for people who still test "AI" tools, so we who don't use them could know what…

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July 2026
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