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Latest Articles
Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics
May 6, 2025
AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie
May 5, 2025
Class 48: What Is A Model?
May 1, 2025
I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability
April 30, 2025
Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
April 29, 2025
The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!
April 28, 2025
Class 47: Billions Of Models!
April 24, 2025
A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed
April 22, 2025
Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
April 21, 2025
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
April 17, 2025
The Educational Empire Strikes Back
April 16, 2025
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
April 15, 2025
Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
April 14, 2025
Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
April 10, 2025
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
April 9, 2025
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
April 8, 2025
Power Restored, Posts To Resume
April 7, 2025
No posts, class. No power, no internet
April 1, 2025
MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
March 31, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Posted by By Briggs May 8, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs May 7, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Low Flow Toilets Equals No-Flow Sewers In San Francisco

If you're an environmentalist, particularly a San Francisco version of that creature (one of the most virulent of the breed), it must have come as quite a shock for you…
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Posted inStatistics

Stock Tomato Seeds! Global Warming Is Coming!

It must be a joke. The punchline is surely coming. Ha, ha! Hoarding tomato seeds! Bars on his basement windows! Hilarious! This guy really nails nuttiness. He'll shame a few…
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Posted inFun Statistics

And The Winner Goes To…Oscar Statistics Wrap Up

Our model was right: The King's Speech won. In this weekend's Oscar Statistics post, we modeled the chances of each nominated movie. We guessed that the movie most likely to…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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Posted inCulture

We Need To Slaughter Owls To Save Them, Environmentalists

Here is a quiz to accurately determine how devoted an environmentalist you are. What is the best way to "save" Oregonian owls? (a) Ignore them and let them take care…
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Posted inStatistics

Prettier Politicians Preferred At Polls

"It is well established that being beautiful confers many advantages on a person." This is the opening sentence of a break-through paper by two Swedes and a Finn. From that…
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Posted inCulture

Midweek Catchup: The Natural Advantage Of Doomsayers

Micro-economics of the End of the World As I sit contemplating my under-employment and its various causes, it became clear to me that my natural sunny disposition has hampered me.…
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Posted inStatistics

Planet Could Be ‘Unrecognizable’ By 2050: Doom Just Around The Corner

If you are in your 40s now, as yours truly is (am?), then by 2050 you and the rest of our cohort will be dead or in our 80s. If…
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  1. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  4. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  5. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

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