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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 9, 2026
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Posted inStatistics

Proof!

Posted by By Briggs April 8, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Dahn Yoga: Plea For Information

I have received a heart-breaking series of emails from a reader about his wife's experience in Dahn Yoga. Here is the first (I have changed the name and personal details…
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Posted inCulture

Hurricane Irene: End Of The World? Obligatory Global Warming Post

What do you call a Japanese lady with one leg shorter than the other? Irene! Ha ha ha ha! But, seriously. Hurricanes are no joke. Particularly this one, which the…
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Posted inStatistics

The Increased And Increasing Chinese Military

More on matters that don't appear to be as urgent as they are. From the DoD's annual report on Chinese military capability, "In 2004, Hu Jintao articulated a mission statement…
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Posted inStatistics

Detecting Deceptive Opinion Spam

Ever seen a review like this? My husband and I satayed for two nights at the Hilton Chicago,and enjoyed every minute of it! The bedrooms are immaculate,and the linnens are…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Conversation With A Progressive: The British Riots

Nigel Shocking, just shocking these riots. Wouldn't you agree? David No. I'd say rather that they were expected. Nigel Too right they were. These youth were disaffected. Nothing but products…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability And The IPCC’s Ambiguous Forecasts

This post is inspired by Roger Pielke, Jr., as well as Bernie, Matt, and other readers who asked me to have a look at some IPCC probability statements. Roger Pielke,…
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Posted inCulture

Court Of Appeals: Obama Cares Too Much

One of the sharpest and most compelling arguments of the left is how easily an economy based on democracy can devolve into crony capitalism. Once companies becomes rich enough to…
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Posted inFun

Is My Site Visible In China? Strange Request Day

Update: 2:30 PM PST. The database was corrupted most of the day. I believe I have isolated the problem (I hope). All comments made today were lost. I apologize for…
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  1. Brendan P O'Sullivan on Class 85: Proper Scores of Model GoodnessApril 9, 2026

    Bill - An opportunity to help fellow Vets! Look at the following - regarding jet fuel exposure to vets -…

  2. Steve on Proof!April 9, 2026

    You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…

  3. gareth on Proof!April 9, 2026

    Read it here, please. Which I did, and recommend others do too :-)

  4. Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…

  5. spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…

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